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Recession probability, capital rotation scoring, and economic data API
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Recession probability, capital rotation scoring, and economic data API
Security Report
4.0
Use Caution4.0High RiskValid MCP server (1 strong, 1 medium validity signals). 9 known CVEs in dependencies (0 critical, 3 high severity) Package registry verified. Imported from the Official MCP Registry.
3 files analyzed · 10 issues found
Security scores are indicators to help you make informed decisions, not guarantees. Always review permissions before connecting any MCP server.
Permissions Required
This plugin requests these system permissions. Most are normal for its category.
What You'll Need
Set these up before or after installing:
Your BullrunData API key (get one free at bullrundata.com)Required
Environment variable: BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY
How to Install
Add this to your MCP configuration file:
{
"mcpServers": {
"io-github-jbrand0n-market-intelligence-mcp": {
"env": {
"BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-bullrundata-api-key-here"
},
"args": [
"-y",
"@bullrundata/market-intelligence"
],
"command": "npx"
}
}
}Documentation
View on GitHubFrom the project's GitHub README.
Market Intelligence MCP Server
Recession probability, sector rotation, institutional positioning, macro cascade scenario analysis, real estate calculators, and real-time economic data — for Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, and any MCP client.
Powered by the BullrunData API.
Quick Start
Claude Desktop
Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:
{
"mcpServers": {
"market-intelligence": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@bullrundata/market-intelligence"],
"env": {
"BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-api-key"
}
}
}
}
Claude Code
claude mcp add market-intelligence -- npx -y @bullrundata/market-intelligence
Get Your API Key
Sign up free at bullrundata.com — 100 calls/day, no credit card required.
Available Tools (23)
Macro Intelligence
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
dashboard_summary | One-call macro snapshot — recession probability, regime, Fed stance, 14 key indicators |
recession_probability | 15-component recession model with full breakdown and confirmation slice |
recession_indicators | Curated key metrics block (unemployment, CPI, T10Y2Y, VIX, mortgage, etc.) |
fed_stance | Current Fed monetary policy stance and Fed funds rate |
market_regime | Market cycle phase (early/mid/late_cycle / recession) |
confirmation_status | 4 coincident indicators confirming or denying recession signals |
Markets & Institutional
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
sectors_rotation | Risk-on/risk-off signal from 11 sector ETFs (cyclical vs defensive) with leaders/laggards |
institutional_cftc | CFTC Commitments of Traders — institutional futures positioning |
institutional_tic | Treasury International Capital flows — net foreign Treasury demand |
Real Estate Calculators
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
investment_property_analysis | Rental property analysis: cap rate, DSCR, cash flow, 1% rule |
brrrr_analysis | BRRRR deal scoring (0-100) with 70% rule and full breakdown |
Economic Data
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
economic_indicator | Time series for any tracked indicator (VIXCLS, UNRATE, CPIAUCSL, T10Y2Y, etc.) |
list_indicators | List all tracked indicators, optionally filtered by category |
interest_rates | Fed Policy + Interest Rates categories |
inflation_data | All Inflation-category indicators |
employment_data | Labor Market category (unemployment, payrolls, claims, JOLTS) |
housing_data | Housing category (mortgage rates, starts, permits, prices) |
yield_curve | 10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads with inversion check |
market_sentiment | Markets + Financial Conditions + Consumer Sentiment |
Cascade Engine (Macro Scenario Analysis)
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
cascade_list | List all 10 macro catalyst scenarios |
cascade_analysis | Full chain reaction for a catalyst with live data enrichment |
cascade_search | Search catalysts by keyword (e.g., "oil", "dollar", "china") |
cascade_by_category | Filter by category: geopolitical, monetary, credit, commodity, currency, structural |
Available Catalysts: Oil Supply Shock, Dollar Liquidity Squeeze, Fed Emergency Rate Cut, US Recession, China-Taiwan Escalation, Yield Curve Inversion, Credit Market Freeze, EM Currency Crisis, Trade War Escalation, Sovereign Debt Crisis
Example Conversations
"What's the current recession risk?"
Claude uses recession_probability and returns:
Current recession probability is 37.9% (moderate risk). Fed stance: neutral. Market regime: mid-cycle. 0 of 4 coincident indicators confirming. Recommendation: Mixed signals require caution. Begin defensive rotation.
"Is this a good time to buy an investment property at $450K?"
Claude uses investment_property_analysis + interest_rates:
At $450K with 20% down at 7%, monthly cash flow is $287. Cap rate: 5.3%. Cash-on-cash: 4.2%. DSCR: 1.18 (healthy). Current 30Y mortgage rate: 6.38%.
"What's the market risk-on/risk-off signal?"
Claude uses sectors_rotation + institutional_cftc:
Sector rotation signal: RISK_ON. Cyclical sectors leading (XLK +19.7%, XLY +7.2%) vs defensive lagging (XLU -0.5%, XLV -2.6%). Rotation spread +4.4. CFTC institutional positioning: e-mini S&P long, gold short — risk-seeking. Playbook: stay overweight cyclicals, watch for rotation breakdown.
"What happens if oil hits $120?"
Claude uses cascade_analysis + sectors_rotation:
Oil Supply Shock cascade: Dollar demand surges (mechanical) -> Asian FX reserves drain (likely, weeks) -> Asian equity outflows (likely) -> Forced rate hikes in Asia (probable, months). Current sector rotation: RISK_ON, but energy (XLE) lagging at -3.6% suggests market hasn't priced supply risk yet. Playbook: inflation hedges (XLE, TIP) and cash reserves. Watch Fed swap line usage for systemic signal.
Configuration
| Environment Variable | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|
BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY | Yes | Your API key from bullrundata.com |
Pricing
| Tier | Calls/Day | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Free | 100 | $0 |
| Pro | 10,000 | $29/mo |
| Business | 100,000 | $99/mo |
Support
- Website: bullrundata.com
- Docs: bullrundata.com/docs
- Issues: GitHub Issues
License
MIT
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